MINI
C:
/
FIVSIN
/
Upload File:
files >> C:/FIVSIN/MAKASSAR_old.OUT
1COMPUTATIONAL METHODS FOR POPULATION PROJECTIONS: FIVFIV-SINSIN RELEASE 9.0 CAIRO SEP. 1987 COPYRIGHT THE POPULATION COUNCIL, ONE DAG HAMMARSKJOLD PLAZA, NEW YORK, N.Y. 10017. INPUT CONTROL CARDS FOR PROJECTION 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 12345678901234567890123456789012345678901234567890123456789012345678901234567890 WEST YEAR.TITLE YR.2000.PROYEKSI PENDUDUK MAKASSAR INIT.POP INIT.F.A 53896.00 64519.00 66210.00 83030.00 89627.00 82939.00 64451.00 INIT.F.B 47086.00 35020.00 26842.00 21005.00 16537.00 12703.00 9162.00 INIT.F.C 5614.00 5481.00 INIT.M.A 62502.00 64710.00 64584.00 76024.00 81905.00 78942.00 64734.00 INIT.M.B 48854.00 36619.00 27846.00 21297.00 16162.00 11780.00 8022.00 INIT.M.C 4776.00 4221.00 MORTALITY MORT.EZ.F 71.58 72.07 72.52 72.96 73.36 73.75 74.11 MORT.EZ.M 68.48 69.03 69.55 70.04 70.49 70.92 71.32 FERTILITY TOTAL.FERT 2.3880 2.3580 2.3300 2.3020 2.2750 2.2490 2.2250 FERDIST1.7 21.1800 69.7610 105.9520 100.1730 58.1880 19.9070 35.6900 FEND MIGRATION RATES MIGRF1.7.A 1.26 1.70 1.05 1.14 1.14 2.05 2.83 MIGRF1.7.B 3.25 2.93 2.23 1.56 1.09 .85 .74 MIGRF1.7.C .67 .58 MIGRM1.7.A 1.36 1.77 1.48 .90 .87 1.42 2.19 MIGRM1.7.B 2.94 2.98 2.43 1.79 1.32 1.02 .84 MIGRM1.7.C .69 .55 MEND END PROJECTION 1PROYEKSI PENDUDUK MAKASSAR PAGE 1 FERTILITY SEX RATIO AT BIRTH: 105.0 MALES PER 100 FEMALES. DISTRIBUTION BY AGE OF ONE UNIT OF TOTAL FERTILITY AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 15 .010 .010 .010 .010 .010 .010 .010 20 .034 .034 .034 .034 .034 .034 .034 25 .052 .052 .052 .052 .052 .052 .052 30 .049 .049 .049 .049 .049 .049 .049 35 .028 .028 .028 .028 .028 .028 .028 40 .010 .010 .010 .010 .010 .010 .010 45 .017 .017 .017 .017 .017 .017 .017 5*TOT=TF 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0 AGE SPECIFIC FERTILITY SCHEDULE AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 15 .025 .024 .024 .024 .023 .023 .023 20 .081 .080 .079 .078 .077 .076 .076 25 .123 .122 .120 .119 .117 .116 .115 30 .116 .115 .114 .112 .111 .110 .108 35 .068 .067 .066 .065 .064 .064 .063 40 .023 .023 .023 .022 .022 .022 .022 45 .041 .041 .040 .040 .040 .039 .039 5*TOT=TF 2.388 2.358 2.330 2.302 2.275 2.249 2.225 GRR 1.165 1.150 1.137 1.123 1.110 1.097 1.085 NRR 1.102 1.092 1.083 1.074 1.064 1.055 1.046 MEAN AGE 31.235 31.235 31.235 31.235 31.235 31.235 31.235 MORTALITY 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0LIFE TABLES: WEST E(0) FEMALES 71.58 72.07 72.52 72.96 73.36 73.75 74.11 E(0) MALES 68.48 69.03 69.55 70.04 70.49 70.92 71.32 INF MORT FEMALES 25.89 24.25 22.76 21.44 20.23 19.06 17.98 INF MORT MALES 31.36 29.35 27.50 25.76 24.16 22.63 21.27 E(5) FEMALES 68.89 69.23 69.54 69.86 70.15 70.44 70.70 E(5) MALES 66.12 66.50 66.87 67.21 67.52 67.82 68.11 1PROYEKSI PENDUDUK MAKASSAR PAGE 2 MIGRATION (NET): RATES PER 1000 YEARLY VALUES DURING FIVE-YEAR PERIODS FEMALES AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 10 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 15 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 20 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 25 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 30 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 35 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 40 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 45 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 50 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 55 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 60 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 65 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 70 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 75+ .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 MALES AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 10 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 15 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 20 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 25 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 30 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 35 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 40 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 45 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 50 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 55 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 60 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 65 .8 .8 .8 .8 .8 .8 .8 70 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 75+ .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 1PROYEKSI PENDUDUK MAKASSAR PAGE 3 POPULATION PROJECTION FEMALES AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0 53896.0 81063.3 85852.1 84229.3 79599.1 76677.2 77816.4 81491.8 5 64519.0 54085.2 81241.4 86120.4 84529.4 79915.8 77007.8 78168.4 10 66210.0 64796.4 54416.2 81620.9 86551.8 84965.6 80345.2 77436.8 15 83030.0 66407.6 64971.9 54635.1 81855.3 86838.8 85265.4 80646.2 20 89627.0 83138.1 66550.6 65099.0 54819.2 82037.8 87075.5 85519.7 25 82939.0 89818.5 83372.0 66811.9 65324.5 55098.5 82318.8 87447.0 30 64451.0 83336.8 90308.3 83884.8 67318.2 65767.2 55613.1 82871.6 35 47086.0 64865.4 83875.5 90945.5 84529.7 67951.0 66321.7 56263.7 40 35020.0 47284.5 65156.1 84246.3 91390.6 84990.4 68443.2 66744.5 45 26842.0 34894.4 47151.9 64996.4 84045.1 91215.1 84875.9 68462.4 50 21005.0 26423.0 34385.6 46505.8 64146.1 82972.5 90108.9 83903.3 55 16537.0 20346.4 25627.9 33391.1 45215.4 62422.0 80800.1 87825.8 60 12703.0 15643.8 19281.1 24325.3 31748.7 43057.2 59522.9 77134.7 65 9162.0 11548.9 14256.3 17609.9 22270.1 29129.7 39588.0 54826.5 70 5614.0 7772.7 9829.4 12169.7 15082.2 19130.7 25096.3 34197.3 75+ 5481.0 6955.1 9355.4 12165.9 15434.5 19397.6 24620.4 32002.0 TOT 684122.0 758380.1 835631.8 908757.4 973859.8 1031567.0 1084820.0 1134942.0 MALES AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0 62502.0 84668.5 89694.9 88031.1 83230.9 80210.6 81433.6 85304.6 5 64710.0 62654.0 84822.1 89929.5 88310.5 83539.3 80543.1 81793.6 10 64584.0 65037.2 63041.8 85262.8 90431.8 88824.0 84047.9 81051.0 15 76024.0 64718.6 65171.7 63234.4 85469.0 90676.9 89084.0 84315.2 20 81905.0 75871.0 64631.4 65092.1 63208.3 85405.9 90649.1 89084.2 25 78942.0 81749.2 75771.6 64596.9 65060.8 63232.0 85398.5 90695.1 30 64734.0 78988.3 81856.7 75921.5 64788.4 65245.0 63484.7 85659.4 35 48854.0 64914.8 79237.9 82182.0 76280.8 65176.7 65618.3 63947.7 40 36619.0 48927.7 65039.7 79415.9 82435.6 76576.7 65528.0 65957.0 45 27846.0 36365.5 48635.8 64690.1 79024.5 82101.4 76333.1 65421.9 50 21297.0 27222.0 35601.6 47673.5 63468.1 77587.9 80694.7 75102.4 55 16162.0 20333.0 26037.8 34112.8 45751.5 60985.1 74635.3 77726.0 60 11780.0 14907.1 18799.6 24129.7 31681.7 42572.7 56843.8 69675.2 65 8022.0 10320.5 13101.3 16572.8 21332.5 28082.5 37828.7 50622.7 70 4776.0 6480.9 8372.1 10669.8 13547.4 17497.7 23109.0 31225.7 75+ 4221.0 5343.8 7113.6 9342.3 12103.0 15559.4 20156.4 26552.8 TOT 672978.0 748502.0 826929.7 900857.3 966124.8 1023274.0 1075388.0 1124134.0 GRAND TOTAL 1357100.0 1506882.0 1662562.0 1809615.0 1939985.0 2054841.0 2160208.0 2259076.0 MIDPERIOD INDICES FOR FIVE-YEAR TIME PERIODS POPULATION SIZE 1430684.0 1583446.0 1735049.0 1874044.0 1996864.0 2107087.0 2209275.0 YEARLY BIRTHS 34107.7 36037.7 35290.6 33298.3 32033.0 32468.2 33961.5 YEARLY DEATHS 6599.2 7716.9 9016.4 10564.8 12493.3 14868.2 17729.4 NET YEARLY MIGRANTS 2447.8 2815.1 3136.4 3340.5 3431.6 3473.3 3541.5 YEARLY RATES PER THOUSAND POPULATION GFR=BIRTHS/FEM(15-44) 81.5 81.1 78.4 74.8 72.2 73.1 75.1 BIRTH RATE 23.8 22.8 20.3 17.8 16.0 15.4 15.4 DEATH RATE 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.6 6.3 7.1 8.0 NATURAL INCREASE 19.2 17.9 15.1 12.1 9.8 8.4 7.3 NET MIGRATION 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 POP INCREASE 20.9 19.7 17.0 13.9 11.5 10.0 9.0 1PROYEKSI PENDUDUK MAKASSAR PAGE 4 POPULATION PROJECTION, PERCENTAGES FEMALES 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0 7.88 10.69 10.27 9.27 8.17 7.43 7.17 7.18 5 9.43 7.13 9.72 9.48 8.68 7.75 7.10 6.89 10 9.68 8.54 6.51 8.98 8.89 8.24 7.41 6.82 15 12.14 8.76 7.78 6.01 8.41 8.42 7.86 7.11 20 13.10 10.96 7.96 7.16 5.63 7.95 8.03 7.54 25 12.12 11.84 9.98 7.35 6.71 5.34 7.59 7.70 30 9.42 10.99 10.81 9.23 6.91 6.38 5.13 7.30 35 6.88 8.55 10.04 10.01 8.68 6.59 6.11 4.96 40 5.12 6.23 7.80 9.27 9.38 8.24 6.31 5.88 45 3.92 4.60 5.64 7.15 8.63 8.84 7.82 6.03 50 3.07 3.48 4.11 5.12 6.59 8.04 8.31 7.39 55 2.42 2.68 3.07 3.67 4.64 6.05 7.45 7.74 60 1.86 2.06 2.31 2.68 3.26 4.17 5.49 6.80 65 1.34 1.52 1.71 1.94 2.29 2.82 3.65 4.83 70 .82 1.02 1.18 1.34 1.55 1.85 2.31 3.01 75+ .80 .92 1.12 1.34 1.58 1.88 2.27 2.82 TOT 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 MALES 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 0 9.29 11.31 10.85 9.77 8.61 7.84 7.57 7.59 5 9.62 8.37 10.26 9.98 9.14 8.16 7.49 7.28 10 9.60 8.69 7.62 9.46 9.36 8.68 7.82 7.21 15 11.30 8.65 7.88 7.02 8.85 8.86 8.28 7.50 20 12.17 10.14 7.82 7.23 6.54 8.35 8.43 7.92 25 11.73 10.92 9.16 7.17 6.73 6.18 7.94 8.07 30 9.62 10.55 9.90 8.43 6.71 6.38 5.90 7.62 35 7.26 8.67 9.58 9.12 7.90 6.37 6.10 5.69 40 5.44 6.54 7.87 8.82 8.53 7.48 6.09 5.87 45 4.14 4.86 5.88 7.18 8.18 8.02 7.10 5.82 50 3.16 3.64 4.31 5.29 6.57 7.58 7.50 6.68 55 2.40 2.72 3.15 3.79 4.74 5.96 6.94 6.91 60 1.75 1.99 2.27 2.68 3.28 4.16 5.29 6.20 65 1.19 1.38 1.58 1.84 2.21 2.74 3.52 4.50 70 .71 .87 1.01 1.18 1.40 1.71 2.15 2.78 75+ .63 .71 .86 1.04 1.25 1.52 1.87 2.36 TOT 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 AGE 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 FEMALES 0-14 26.99 26.36 26.51 27.73 25.74 23.42 21.68 20.89 15-64 70.05 70.17 69.49 67.66 68.84 70.02 70.09 68.45 65+ 2.96 3.46 4.00 4.62 5.42 6.56 8.23 10.66 MALES 0-14 28.50 28.37 28.73 29.22 27.12 24.68 22.88 22.07 15-64 68.97 68.67 67.82 66.72 68.02 69.34 69.58 68.28 65+ 2.53 2.96 3.46 4.06 4.86 5.97 7.54 9.64 TOTAL 0-14 27.74 27.36 27.61 28.47 26.43 24.05 22.28 21.48 15-64 69.52 69.43 68.66 67.19 68.43 69.68 69.84 68.36 65+ 2.75 3.21 3.73 4.34 5.14 6.27 7.89 10.16 MALES/FEMALES .984 .987 .990 .991 .992 .992 .991 .990 1
Copyright ©2021 || Defacer Indonesia